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Profitability Inflection - Feb 10, 2026

Feb 10, 2026

Investment, Stocks, Companies at Profitability Inflections


Editor’s Notes

  • Profitability inflections matter more than narratives right now. In a market increasingly skeptical of revenue growth without cash flow, we are seeing sharper stock reactions around turning points in margins, free cash flow, and capital efficiency rather than headline growth alone.

  • Not all inflections are positive and that is the point. This screen deliberately captures both emerging winners (first-time free cash flow, margin expansion, operating leverage) and deteriorations (compression, capital misallocation, structural headwinds), helping investors separate temporary noise from genuine earnings regime shifts.

  • Timing and quality are key. Early profitability inflections tend to be most powerful when paired with balance sheet strength and operating discipline, while late-cycle margin pressure often signals deeper structural issues rather than a simple reset.

  • Think of this as a hunting ground, not a buy/sell/short list. The value lies in identifying where expectations are likely to change next, positively or negatively, before consensus models fully adjust.

Companies with Profitability Inflection Points


Company

Events and Dates

Exact Sciences Corporation

  • Achieved positive free cash flow, signaling a potential profitability turning point (2026-02-10)

Amkor Technology, Inc.

  • Experienced negative earnings growth over the past year, indicating a negative profitability inflection point (2026-02-09)

Intuit Inc.

  • Reported increased profitability and an excellent operating margin over the last year (2026-02-09)

Uber Technologies, Inc.

  • Transitioned from significant cash burn to becoming highly profitable, driven by steady revenue growth and an expanding user base (2026-02-09)

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

  • Projected to experience a significant profitability inflection point over the next couple of years, with profits expected to more than double (2026-02-09)

SentinelOne, Inc.

  • Facing profitability challenges with negative cash flow and weak margins, but shows potential for a turnaround driven by growing business and AI leadership (2026-02-09)

Stride, Inc.

  • EPS grew at a compounded annual rate of 46.4% over five years, outpacing revenue growth and indicating increased per-share profitability (2026-02-09)

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point over three years, characterized by revenue declines, low gross margin, and annual EPS dip (2026-02-09)

Morningstar, Inc.

  • Demonstrated a strong profitability inflection point over five years with solid annual revenue growth and a significant EPS increase (2026-02-09)

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd.

  • Expected to benefit from a potential two-year suspension of consumption tax on food in Japan, which could significantly enhance profitability (2026-02-09)

Electronic Arts Inc.

  • Reported a Q3 profit decline despite strong revenue, indicating mixed fundamentals limiting upside until margins improve (2026-02-09)

Agilent Technologies, Inc.

  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry average, indicating a positive profitability inflection point (2026-02-09)

CarMax, Inc.

  • Q3 earnings and revenue beat analyst expectations, despite a year-over-year revenue decrease (2026-02-08)

CSX Corporation

  • Expected to experience a significant profitability inflection point over the next couple of years, with profit projected to grow by 37% (2026-02-08)

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

  • Experiencing declining fortunes as rapid growth is not translating into profits (2026-02-08)

  • Achieved a profitability inflection point with positive free cash flow margin and 74.1% annual revenue growth over two years (2026-02-06)

  • Gross margins declined in Q2 2025/2026 due to being a price taker and high chip costs, suggesting low-margin business challenges, despite projected 54.9% sales growth for 2026 (2026-02-06)

The Walt Disney Company

  • Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) streaming operations achieved significant operating profit in fiscal 2025, marking a turnaround from previous cumulative losses (2026-02-08)

Insmed Incorporated

  • Projected to reach breakeven and turn profitable by 2027, with an estimated profit of US$170m (2026-02-08)

Align Technology, Inc.

  • Experienced a decline in gross and operating margins in Q4 despite beating volume expectations, indicating a profitability headwind (2026-02-08)

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

  • Experiencing an inflection point with increased earnings stability, margin expansion, and long-term EPS growth due to diversification (2026-02-08)

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

  • Reported $5 billion in profits last year, significantly outperforming a competitor, indicating a strong profitability point (2026-02-07)

Ford Motor Company

  • Model e EV division incurred significant losses in Q3, leading to a strategic shift towards hybrid vehicles, aiming for profitability by 2029 (2026-02-07)

  • Concluded 2025 with strong sales performance and market share growth, anticipating a positive earnings report (2026-02-06)

ITT Inc.

  • Experienced net margin compression in FY 2025 but also demonstrated significant revenue growth and strong profitability metrics exceeding industry averages (2026-02-07)

D.R. Horton, Inc.

  • Demonstrated sustained strong financial performance over several years, consistently posting strong revenue and earnings, outperforming competitors (2026-02-07)

PG&E Corporation

  • Demonstrated a significant increase in Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) over five years, indicating improved capital efficiency and profitability (2026-02-07)

Oshkosh Corporation

  • Experienced a 5% drop in profit in 2025 due to rising operating costs, indicating a profit decline (2026-02-07)

Laopu Gold Co., Ltd.

  • Reported triple-digit revenue growth over three years, indicating significant business expansion and implied profitability, partially driven by rising gold prices (2026-02-07)

JD.com, Inc.

  • Experienced a sharp profit drop in Q3 2025 with thin margins, underscoring execution risk (2026-02-07)

AGCO Corporation

  • Reported a return to profitability in FY 2025, but with a significant one-off gain influencing the results, raising questions about sustainability (2026-02-07)

Post Holdings, Inc.

  • Reported a slippage in net profit margins and EPS in Q1 2026, raising questions about future growth forecasts (2026-02-07)

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

  • Projected to achieve gross profit for the full year 2025 (2026-02-07)

  • Achieved gross profit in Q4 2024 for the first time and a breakeven gross margin due to higher-margin software-and-services, aiming for full-year gross profit in 2025 (2026-02-06)

H&R Block, Inc.

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point over five years, with muted revenue growth, lack of free cash flow, and eroding returns on capital (2026-02-06)

Doximity, Inc.

  • Demonstrated strong financial performance with noteworthy revenue growth and impressive net margin, ROE, and ROA, all surpassing industry averages (2026-02-06)

Flex Ltd.

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point over two years with flat sales, low free cash flow margin, and diminishing returns on capital (2026-02-06)

  • Demonstrated positive multi-year shareholder returns and net income growth with revised guidance for higher revenue and adjusted EPS, but also experienced challenges with net margin below industry averages (2026-02-05)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

  • Experienced a decline in profitability over two years, with EPS falling despite revenue growth, and a significant drop in free cash flow margin (2026-02-06)

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

  • Experienced weak profitability with negative net income, despite generating positive operating cash flow (2026-02-06)

Skyworks Solutions, Inc.

  • Experienced an 18.7 percentage point decline in operating margin over five years due to a disproportionate increase in expenses relative to revenue (2026-02-06)

Meta Platforms, Inc.

  • Projected operating margin to decrease due to significant AI investments, though overall operating income is still expected to grow (2026-02-06)

Analog Devices, Inc.

  • Experienced a 5.4% annual decline in sales over two years due to end-market challenges and below-average returns on capital (2026-02-06)

Match Group, Inc.

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point over three years due to intense competition, declining payers, and flat sales forecast (2026-02-06)

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.

  • Adjusted operating margin decreased by 8.3 percentage points over five years, raising questions about expense management (2026-02-06)

NVR, Inc.

  • Reported lower net income and EPS for Q4 and FY 2025, with revenue and earnings projected to continue declining (2026-02-06)

Murphy USA Inc.

  • Experienced margin compression in FY 2025, with net margin decreasing, challenging the bullish earnings narrative (2026-02-06)

Amazon.com, Inc.

  • Reported a significant increase in profitability last year, with profits growing by 31% and annual sales by 12% (2026-02-06)

Dolby Laboratories, Inc.

  • Experienced a 2.2 percentage point decline in operating margin over the last year due to increased expenses and muted revenue growth (2026-02-06)

Landstar System, Inc.

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point with sales declining and EPS contracting due to end-market challenges and eroding returns on capital (2026-02-06)

Micron Technology, Inc.

  • Experiencing a significant profitability inflection point with soaring revenue and ballooning gross margins due to surging HBM demand and DRAM shortage (2026-02-06)

Royalty Pharma plc

  • Experienced a decrease in efficiency over five years, with its adjusted operating margin falling (2026-02-06)

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

  • Quick commerce business showing significant unit economics improvement, nearing profitability, coupled with robust cloud computing growth, positioning for strong EPS growth (2026-02-06)

NIO Inc.

  • Projected to achieve its first-ever quarterly adjusted operating profit in Q4 2025 (RMB 0.7-1.2 billion), marking a significant turnaround from previous losses due to sustained sales growth, optimized vehicle margin, and cost reduction; aims for full-year profitability in 2026 (2026-02-05)

Enpro Inc.

  • Experienced flat sales over five years, indicating underperformance in sales growth and failure to expand (2026-02-06)

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

  • Experienced increased operating profits over five years, driven by efficiency and leverage on fixed costs (2026-02-06)

Alphabet Inc.

  • Reached a new record high, indicating a positive profitability inflection point attributed to AI investments and strong earnings growth expectations (2026-02-06)

Boyd Gaming Corporation

  • Reported strong profitability metrics in Q4 with high net margin and ROE, indicating efficient operations (2026-02-06)

THOR Industries, Inc.

  • Experienced a negative profitability inflection point over two years, with sales declines, falling EPS, and eroding returns on capital (2026-02-06)

Mueller Water Products, Inc.

  • Reported an improved net profit margin and 45.8% earnings growth over the past year, indicating a positive profitability inflection point (2026-02-06)

McCormick & Company, Incorporated

  • Experienced a decline in profitability with muted revenue growth and below-average returns on capital (2026-02-06)

First Solar, Inc.

  • Experienced a significant profitability inflection point over two years, with annual EPS growth of 71.6% and positive free cash flow, indicating strong market share gains (2026-02-06)

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.

  • Experienced underperformance in core business profitability and disappointing organic revenue growth over two years, with shrinking returns on capital and flat sales projected (2026-02-06)

Gates Industrial Corporation plc

  • Faces potential profitability challenges due to absence of organic revenue growth, shaky demand, and low ROIC, suggesting a need for acquisitions (2026-02-06)

Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

  • Demonstrated improved profitability over five years, driven by annual revenue growth and robust free cash flow margin (2026-02-06)

Chewy, Inc.

  • Experienced low gross margin over three years due to bad unit economics and steep infrastructure costs (2026-02-06)

  • Transitioned from unprofitable to profitable, driven by significant increase in subscription-based recurring shipments and 74% operating income increase in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, with continued profitability expected despite stock decline (2026-02-04, 2026-02-05)

Netflix, Inc.

  • Reached a profitability inflection point with record profit margins and consistently higher free cash flow, transitioning to a mature platform focused on profitability (2026-02-05)

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

  • Experienced margin compression in 2025 due to macroeconomic pressures and a strategic decision to prioritize customer value over short-term profit (2026-02-05)

  • Operating margin declined in Q3 2025 due to higher food and labor costs and a strategy to absorb inflation (2026-02-05)

IonQ, Inc.

  • Future profitability projected to inflect from significant net loss to a sustainable business, driven by rapid revenue expansion (2026-02-05)

Meituan

  • Experienced a net loss in Q3 2025 (or last year) due to substantial investments in instant retail, aggressive discounting, a price war, and subdued consumer sentiment (2026-02-05)

Sumitomo Corporation

  • Reported strong Q3 2026 results with 38.9% earnings growth and improved net profit margin, but future growth is projected to be slower (2026-02-05)

Bio-Techne Corporation

  • Demonstrated strong profitability and effective cost control, achieving an impressive net margin significantly exceeding industry averages (2026-02-05)

Woodward, Inc.

  • Demonstrated increased operating profits over five years due to efficiency and leverage on fixed costs, with significant EPS growth (2026-02-05)

Li Auto Inc.

  • Consistently maintained profitability for a significant period, distinguishing itself from competitors, indicating a strong and sustainable business model (2026-02-05)

MGM China Holdings Limited

  • Reported record-high financial performance for 2025, with increased net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, and a new high market share, driven by Macau's market expansion and operational efficiency (2026-02-05)

Johnson Controls International plc

  • Demonstrated improved profitability, reporting higher first-quarter profit, increased adjusted EPS outlook, and strong financial metrics surpassing industry peers (2026-02-04, 2026-02-05)

Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

  • Reported strong financial results for FY 2025 with high net income and margin expansion, supporting bullish narratives for long-term growth driven by AI and robot-assisted surgery (2026-02-05)

Atmos Energy Corporation

  • Experienced a positive profitability inflection point, with a 14.5% jump in quarterly profit driven by increased natural gas demand and effective monetization of gas infrastructure (2026-02-05)

Paylocity Holding Corporation

  • Reported strong Q2 results, exceeding expectations with improved profitability metrics (23.6% increase in free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA margins) (2026-02-05)

Bunge Global SA

  • Experienced margin compression in Q4 2025, with basic EPS falling and net margins decreasing, despite exceeding adjusted earnings expectations (2026-02-05)

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

  • Transitioned from loss to profitability between five and three years ago, with significant EPS growth outpacing share price increase (2026-02-05)

FedEx Corporation

  • Expanding net profit margins faster than competitors, with net income growing by 29% year over year, attributed to successful growth strategy and market share gains (2026-02-05)

Symbotic Inc.

  • Experienced a significant profitability inflection point in fiscal year 2025, marked by increased revenue and gross profit, positioning for continued growth (2026-02-05)

Elevance Health, Inc.

  • Reported a decrease in profit margin in Q3 2025, indicating a negative inflection point (2026-02-05)

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

  • Experienced operating margin expansion due to a strategic shift towards software-based solutions and success in cross-selling, with software product revenue outpacing overall growth (2026-02-04)

Snap Inc.

  • Reported increased profit in Q4 despite a sales decrease, attributed to delays in a deal (2026-02-04)

Datadog, Inc.

  • Adjusted operating margin contracted due to heavy AI spending, viewed as justified by accelerating revenue growth to capture AI opportunity (2026-02-04)

Alliant Energy Corporation

  • Demonstrates higher profitability with net margins, return on equity, and return on assets outperforming a peer (2026-02-04)

Exelon Corporation

  • Demonstrated earnings growth over the past year exceeding the industry average, expected to continue over the next four years (2026-02-04)

Cognex Corporation

  • Experienced a significant negative profitability inflection point over five years, with adjusted operating margin and free cash flow margin decline due to decreased efficiency and heightened competition (2026-02-04)

EchoStar Corporation

  • Experienced a significant decline in profitability and efficiency metrics in Q3 2025, with revenue decline, negative net margin, ROE, and ROA (2026-02-04)

Amgen Inc.

  • Experienced a significant increase in top-line earnings with a revenue growth rate of 12.4%, though lower than industry peers (2026-02-04)

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated

  • Experienced a decline in profitability over five years, with adjusted operating margin and free cash flow margin decrease, and EPS falling despite revenue growth (2026-02-04)

Mitsui & Co., Ltd.

  • Reported a decline in net profit margin in Q3 2026, challenging bullish earnings narratives given slow projected future growth (2026-02-04)

Seiko Epson Corporation

  • Demonstrated margin stability in Q3 2026, with earnings growth projected to outpace revenue growth, indicating improving profitability (2026-02-04)

Toast, Inc.

  • Achieved full-year GAAP profitability in 2024 and strong Q2 2025 results, transitioning to sustainable profitability with an expanding product suite and recurring revenue (2026-02-04)

Lucid Group, Inc.

  • Reported continued unprofitability in Q3 2025, with deepening net losses, free cash flow losses, and a high negative gross margin due to rising costs outpacing revenue, leading to rapidly depleting cash reserves (2026-02-04)

Samsara Inc.

  • Experienced increased operating profits over the last year driven by efficiency, though its net margin remains below industry averages, indicating profitability challenges (2026-02-04)

Manhattan Associates, Inc.

  • Demonstrated an improvement in its gross margin over the last year, representing a positive trend for profitability and free cash generation (2026-02-04)

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

  • Experienced a decline in profitability over two years, characterized by low gross margin, below-industry revenue growth, and shrinking returns on capital due to competitive dynamics (2026-02-04)

PepsiCo, Inc.

  • Operating margin declined over the last year due to an increase in day-to-day expenses relative to revenue (2026-02-04)

CMS Energy Corporation

  • Beat EPS estimates in Q3 2025, leading to a share price increase (2026-02-04)

Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

  • Demonstrated improved profitability over five years, attributed to historical investments yielding returns and increased free cash flow margin (2026-02-04)

Lantheus Holdings, Inc.

  • Demonstrated strong financial performance over five years, with annual revenue growth and a significant increase in free cash flow margin (2026-02-04)

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

  • Focusing on maximizing operating efficiencies and reducing discretionary spending, expected to lead to improved net margins and profitability (2026-02-04)

Lennox International Inc.

  • Operating margin increased over five years due to sales growth and operating leverage, with EPS growing faster than revenue (2026-02-04)

Microchip Technology Incorporated

  • Reported a positive EPS surprise in Q3 2025, though share price dropped (2026-02-04)

Global-E Online Ltd.

  • Achieved GAAP profitability in Q4 2024 and projects full-year GAAP profitability for 2025, marking an inflection point (2026-02-04)

Copart, Inc.

  • Operating margins expanded in Q4, surpassing prior-year levels, indicating strong operational performance (2026-02-04)

Republic Services, Inc.

  • Demonstrated a strong profitability inflection point over five years, characterized by impressive operating margin and turbocharged profits due to fixed cost leverage (2026-02-04)

Caterpillar Inc.

  • Experienced flat sales over two years, indicating end-market challenges impacting its products and services (2026-02-04)

AECOM

  • Experienced a decline in profitability over two years, with a decline in backlog, below-industry operating margin, and forecasted revenue decline (2026-02-04)

Altria Group, Inc.

  • Smokeable products segment experienced increased operating companies income despite decreased shipment volume, driven by higher pricing and lower charges (2026-02-04)


Disclaimer: This content is generated using AI, synthesizing public data (filings, reports, news) and social media (Reddit, X). It may contain errors, inaccuracies, or hallucinations. Nothing herein constitutes financial advice. This newsletter is for informational purposes only; please consult a qualified professional and conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

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